• The "prices of its products" index has been on a downward trend since the beginning of the year, to such an extent that in June it was in contraction with 49.75 points.
• The foreign trade indicators, as well as the "number of workers" were the only ones that presented advances, although they remained in the contraction zone.

During the month of June, most of the indicators of CAINTRA's Economic Expectations Survey showed a decline with respect to the previous month.

The indicators that showed the largest declines were: "new orders," which fell to 40.69 points in June; "physical production volume," which fell by 3.46 points to 41.83; and "capacity utilization," falling by 3.12 points to 44.35. The first two indicators are at their lowest level since July 2020.

On the other hand, foreign trade indicators, as well as the "number of workers" were the only ones that presented advances, although remaining in the contraction zone. Specifically, the "exports" and "imports" indicators advanced by 2.33 and 1.58 points, to 43.62 and 44.82, respectively. Likewise, the workers' index advanced modestly by 0.41 points to 47.23 units.

On the price side, the "prices of its products" index has been on a downward trend since the beginning of the year, to such an extent that in June it was in contraction with 49.75 points. The "raw material prices" index is also down, but still far from the expansion threshold.

In the case of factors hindering business performance, "political landscape" remains the main obstacle for seven consecutive months, although reducing its share from 50% to 36.4%, tying with "weak economic activity".

They are followed by "adverse international environment" and "lower external demand", being selected by more than 33% of respondents.

Finally, the number of companies that made any investment in machinery, equipment or construction fell sharply to 16%, the lowest since August 2020.

Los indicadores de expectativas buscan conocer de forma cualitativa la situación coyuntural de la industria manufacturera de Nuevo León, mediante la perspectiva de los directivos de las empresas en diversas variables relacionadas con su operación. Para ello, a los empresarios se les cuestiona mes con mes cómo se comportó una lista de variables con relación al período anterior, teniendo la posibilidad de responder: mucho menor, menor, igual, mayor, mucho mayor. Con esto, se elabora un índice cuya importancia radica en que, si el número obtenido se encuentra por arriba de 50 puntos, la variable se encuentra en expansión; pero si está por debajo de esta magnitud, significa una contracción.

CAINTRA Nuevo León